<\/p>\nBizim WhatsApp kanal\u0131m\u0131za buradan abun\u0259 ola bil\u0259rsiniz<\/p>\n
<\/a><\/p>\n
\u0130sraill\u0259 F\u0259l\u0259stin aras\u0131ndak\u0131 geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 toqqu\u015fmalar regional da\u011f\u0131n\u0131ql\u0131\u011fa h\u0259ssas olan n\u00f6qt\u0259l\u0259ri ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 qurdalay\u0131r.<\/p>\n
H\u0259rbi n\u00f6qteyi-n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n H\u018fMAS-\u0131n \u00e7ox t\u0259sirli h\u00fccum \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar\u0131n\u0131 icra etdiyi ayd\u0131nd\u0131r, h\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd ki, o, \u0130srailin nizaml\u0131, pe\u015f\u0259kar ordusu v\u0259 \u0259n m\u00fcasir silahlar\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 acizdir.<\/p>\n
Lakin H\u018fMAS h\u00fccumlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130sraili q\u0259fil yaxalamas\u0131ndan sonra qlobal m\u0259kanda \u0130srailin k\u0259\u015ffiyyat v\u0259 \u0259m\u0259liyyat u\u011fursuzluqlar\u0131 haqq\u0131nda bir xeyli m\u00fczakir\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131b.<\/p>\n
\u0130ndi bunu ara\u015fd\u0131rmaq yaln\u0131z \u0130srailin daxili i\u015fidir, beyn\u0259lxalq al\u0259m is\u0259 h\u0259rbi toqqu\u015fmalar\u0131n qlobal v\u0259 regional miqyasdak\u0131 neqativ perspektivl\u0259ri il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar h\u0259y\u0259can ke\u00e7irir.<\/p>\n
Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rq oxunun t\u0259rs bucaqda f\u0131rlanmas\u0131 regionda Suriya, Livan, \u0130raq, Y\u0259m\u0259n, \u018ffqan\u0131stan c\u0259bh\u0259l\u0259rinin g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u0259mi\u015f d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 aktivl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Yenid\u0259n q\u0131z\u0131\u015fan ba\u015f\u0131b\u0259lal\u0131 regiona beyn\u0259lxalq v\u0259 regional oyun\u00e7ular\u0131n hans\u0131 m\u0259ntiql\u0259 qarmaq ataca\u011f\u0131 maraq do\u011furur.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u0130ran<\/strong><\/p>\n\u0130ran ill\u0259rdir H\u018fMAS-\u0131n maliyy\u0259, silah v\u0259 t\u0259lim d\u0259st\u0259yini t\u0259min edib. R\u0259smi Tehran \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rq regionundak\u0131 qar\u0131\u015f\u0131ql\u0131q proksi q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin yeti\u015fm\u0259si bax\u0131m\u0131ndan faydal\u0131d\u0131r. Bu m\u0259nada \u0130ran\u0131n \u0130srail-H\u018fMAS toqqu\u015fmalar\u0131 fonunda \u201cZeyn\u0259biyyun\u201d v\u0259 \u201cFatimiyyun\u201d h\u0259r\u0259katlar\u0131n\u0131 Suriya kanal\u0131nda canland\u0131rmas\u0131 Tehran\u0131n ciddi haz\u0131rl\u0131q m\u0259\u015fql\u0259rind\u0259n x\u0259b\u0259r ver\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
H\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd ki, \u0130ranla H\u018fMAS ideoloji c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n bir-birin\u0259 simpatiya b\u0259sl\u0259mir. Onlar\u0131n yegan\u0259 ortaq c\u0259h\u0259ti \u0130srail\u0259 nifr\u0259tdir, bununla bel\u0259, Tehran\u0131n sona q\u0259d\u0259r H\u018fMAS-\u0131 d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yi \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259li g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
M\u0259ntiql\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n H\u018fMAS-\u0131 d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259m\u0259sind\u0259n \u00e7ox, onun prosesl\u0259rd\u0259n hans\u0131 \u0259sasl\u0131 strateji sonluqla ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 daha ciddi izl\u0259nilm\u0259lidir. \u0130ran\u0131n \u201cHizbullah\u201d kimi h\u0259rbi proksi qanad\u0131 Tehran\u0131n siyas\u0259tind\u0259n ir\u0259li g\u0259l\u0259n \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yerin\u0259 yetirir. Bu, \u0130ran \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qeyri-d\u00f6vl\u0259t aktorlar\u0131n\u0131n yeti\u015fm\u0259sind\u0259 ciddi rola malikdir, ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 \u201cHizbullah\u201d\u0131n m\u00fcxt\u0259lif c\u0259bh\u0259l\u0259ri eyni qavray\u0131\u015fla birl\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259y g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259ndir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiy\u0259<\/strong><\/p>\nT\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin strateji d\u0259st-x\u0259tti \u0130ran\u0131nk\u0131ndan f\u0259rqlidir, Ankaran\u0131n xarici siyas\u0259tind\u0259ki mahiyy\u0259t F\u0259l\u0259stini k\u0259narda qoymur. Ancaq bu, Tehran\u0131n m\u0259ntiqind\u0259n \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 f\u0259rqli x\u00fcsusiyy\u0259tl\u0259r\u0259 malikdir.<\/p>\n
Birincisi, ona g\u00f6r\u0259 ki, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin \u0130sraill\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri yax\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131b, ikincisi, Ankara il\u0259 T\u0259l-\u018fviv \u0259r\u0259b d\u00fcnyas\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259rin ruhunu eyni ip \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 c\u0259ml\u0259\u015fdirirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n
\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin xarici siyas\u0259t strategiyas\u0131ndak\u0131 dini \u00e7alarlar s\u0259mimi \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flara dayan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 il\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n ikit\u0259r\u0259fli m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin kontekstind\u0259 regional prosesl\u0259r\u0259 yana\u015fmada fikir ayr\u0131l\u0131qlar\u0131 m\u00f6vcuddur, h\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd ki, Ankara il\u0259 Tehran m\u00fc\u015ft\u0259r\u0259k iqtisadi-siyasi v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik m\u00fchiti yaratmaqda h\u0259v\u0259sli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrl\u0259r.<\/p>\n
\u00dcmumi fonda \u0130srail-H\u018fMAS qar\u015f\u0131durmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259rf\u0259li deyil. \u018fn az\u0131ndan ona g\u00f6r\u0259 ki, F\u0259l\u0259stin m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259si T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqin \u00fcmumi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyi \u00fczr\u0259 prioritetl\u0259ri vur\u011fulay\u0131r.<\/p>\n
AB\u015e<\/strong><\/p>\nAB\u015e-d\u0259n \u0130srail\u0259 ciddi d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259r verils\u0259 d\u0259, Va\u015finqton \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bir n\u00f6mr\u0259li p\u0259rd\u0259arxas\u0131 prioritetl\u0259rin icras\u0131na \u015f\u0259rait yarand\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcz\u0259 \u00e7\u0131xmaqdad\u0131r. AB\u015e il\u0259 \u0130srail aras\u0131nda \u0130ran m\u00f6vzusunda v\u0259 regional bax\u0131\u015flarda f\u0259rqlilikl\u0259r m\u00f6vcuddur v\u0259 son zamanlar T\u0259l-\u018fvivin daxili m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar Va\u015finqtona \u0259m\u0259lli-ba\u015fl\u0131 yerini g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259si diqq\u0259t \u00e7\u0259kirdi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ndi is\u0259 AB\u015e \u0130srail\u0259 \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik \u00e7\u0259tirini hiss etdirm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn f\u00fcrs\u0259t qazan\u0131b, T\u0259l-\u018fvivin strateji m\u00fcdafi\u0259sind\u0259 Va\u015finqtonun d\u0259st\u0259yin\u0259 ehtiyac hiss etm\u0259si bel\u0259 fikirl\u0259ri meydana \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ancaq AB\u015e-nin maraqlar\u0131 paralel olaraq sars\u0131l\u0131r, \u00e7\u00fcnki A\u011f Ev, he\u00e7 olmazsa, \u0130sraill\u0259 S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131 aras\u0131ndak\u0131 normalla\u015fma prosesind\u0259 moderatorluq \u0259ld\u0259 etmi\u015fdi. \u018fr-Riyada g\u0259linc\u0259, o, \u0130srail-F\u0259l\u0259stin h\u0259rbi eskalasiyas\u0131ndan sonra T\u0259l-\u018fvivl\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri normalla\u015fd\u0131ran prosedurlar\u0131 t\u0259xir\u0259 sald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 b\u0259yan etdi.<\/p>\n
Yuxar\u0131da g\u00f6st\u0259ril\u0259n m\u0259qam \u0130srailin h\u0259m S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131 il\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015fmaq, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u0130brahim raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 (B\u0259hreynd\u0259 15 sentyabr 2020-ci ild\u0259 imzalanm\u0131\u015f sazi\u015f) icra etm\u0259si prosesind\u0259 AB\u015e-nin roluna z\u0259rb\u0259 vurur.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Rusiya<\/strong><\/p>\nRusiya Ukraynada apard\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u0259rbi kampaniyada ist\u0259diyini \u0259ld\u0259 ed\u0259 bilmir, buna g\u00f6r\u0259 o, Q\u0259rb\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 ritorikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0259rtl\u0259\u015fdirir. Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rq alovunun yuxar\u0131 qalxmas\u0131 is\u0259 Q\u0259rbin diqq\u0259tini Ukraynadan yay\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131r – bu, Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn g\u00f6yd\u0259nd\u00fc\u015fm\u0259 f\u00fcrs\u0259tdir.<\/p>\n
Rusiya Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqin Suriya qanad\u0131ndak\u0131 m\u00f6vqel\u0259rini itirm\u0259yib, \u0259ksin\u0259, \u0130ranla birlikd\u0259 AB\u015e-nin regiondan \u00e7\u0131xmas\u0131 \u015f\u0259raitini formala\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa can at\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\u00dcst\u0259g\u0259l, Kremlin Suriyada T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 il\u0259 \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q format\u0131 d\u0259rinl\u0259\u015fm\u0259k \u0259r\u0259f\u0259sind\u0259dir. Kreml ill\u0259rdir formala\u015fm\u0131\u015f AB\u015e-S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rini d\u0259 korlay\u0131b ikincini \u00f6z t\u0259r\u0259fin\u0259 \u00e7\u0259km\u0259yi bacar\u0131b.<\/p>\n
Buna baxmayaraq, Rusiyan\u0131n \u0130srail-F\u0259l\u0259stin m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sin\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck t\u0259sirl\u0259ri yoxdur, \u00e7\u00fcnki, o, diqq\u0259tini daha \u00e7ox Ukraynaya y\u00f6n\u0259ldir.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in<\/strong><\/p>\n\u018fn uzaqg\u00f6r\u0259n taktika \u00c7in\u0259 m\u0259xsusdur, o, el\u0259 bir plana sahibdir ki, Rusiyan\u0131n da, \u0130ran\u0131n da, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin d\u0259, S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131n\u0131n da diqq\u0259t m\u0259rk\u0259zin\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
\u00c7inin Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259ki strateji aktivl\u0259ri onun \u0130ranla S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131 aras\u0131ndak\u0131 bar\u0131\u015f\u0131q dialoquna vasit\u0259\u00e7ilik etm\u0259si il\u0259 \u015fi\u015fdi v\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla Pekin n\u00f6vb\u0259ti m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 \u0130sraill\u0259 F\u0259l\u0259stini bir araya g\u0259tirm\u0259yi planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
AB\u015e \u00c7inin b\u00f6y\u00fcy\u0259n maraqlar\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na Hindistanla Avropan\u0131 birl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259c\u0259k n\u0259qliyyat d\u0259hlizi layih\u0259si il\u0259 \u00e7\u0131xd\u0131, bu mar\u015frut, plana g\u00f6r\u0259, Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqi d\u0259 \u0259hat\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n
Ancaq r\u0259qibl\u0259r bir-birinin \u0259lind\u0259ki kart\u0131 vurmaqla m\u0259\u015f\u011fuldurlar, indi Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 H\u018fMAS-\u0131n \u0130srail\u0259 h\u00fccumu il\u0259 yaranan reall\u0131qlar \u00c7in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259rdir.<\/p>\n
\u0130sraill\u0259 F\u0259l\u0259stinin davas\u0131n\u0131n n\u00f6vb\u0259ti raundu \u00c7in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bir \u00e7ox c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n \u0259lveri\u015flidir, birinci n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259 Pekin AB\u015e-Hindistan oxunun istiqam\u0259tini d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259yi bacar\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\u0130kinci n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259, Suriya Prezidenti B\u0259\u015f\u0259r \u018fs\u0259din \u00c7in\u0259 s\u0259f\u0259rind\u0259n sonra Pekinin Suriyaya \u0259lveri\u015fli \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259rl\u0259 giri\u015finin t\u0259min olunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hesablamaq \u00e7\u0259tin deyil. \u00c7inin regional qaynamas\u0131 Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqin konyunkturas\u0131n\u0131 \u0259sasl\u0131 \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259 bil\u0259n n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r do\u011fura bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
\u0130sraill\u0259 F\u0259l\u0259stin aras\u0131ndak\u0131 h\u0259rbi ritorika ir\u0259lid\u0259 beyn\u0259lxalq siyas\u0259t bax\u0131m\u0131ndan iki ssenarini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa imkan verir.<\/p>\n
Birincisi, qlobal v\u0259 regional oyun\u00e7ular m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rinin hesablamalar\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alaraq regional g\u0259rginliyi azaltmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yar\u0131\u015fa girirl\u0259r v\u0259 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn at\u0259\u015fk\u0259s raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131ndan maksimal \u0259msalla \u00e7\u0131xmaq ist\u0259yirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n
\u0130kincisi, m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 x\u0259tti geni\u015fl\u0259nib daha b\u00f6y\u00fck regionlara yay\u0131larsa, onda eskalasiyan\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131ndan \u00e7ox, onun y\u00f6nl\u0259ndirilm\u0259si u\u011frunda ciddi r\u0259qab\u0259t hiss oluna bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n
Aq\u015fin K\u0259rimov<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bizim WhatsApp kanal\u0131m\u0131za buradan abun\u0259 ola bil\u0259rsiniz \u0130sraill\u0259 F\u0259l\u0259stin aras\u0131ndak\u0131 geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 toqqu\u015fmalar regional da\u011f\u0131n\u0131ql\u0131\u011fa h\u0259ssas olan n\u00f6qt\u0259l\u0259ri ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 qurdalay\u0131r. H\u0259rbi n\u00f6qteyi-n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n H\u018fMAS-\u0131n \u00e7ox t\u0259sirli h\u00fccum \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar\u0131n\u0131 icra etdiyi ayd\u0131nd\u0131r, h\u0259r\u00e7\u0259nd ki, o, \u0130srailin nizaml\u0131, pe\u015f\u0259kar ordusu v\u0259 \u0259n m\u00fcasir silahlar\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 acizdir. Lakin H\u018fMAS h\u00fccumlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130sraili q\u0259fil yaxalamas\u0131ndan sonra qlobal m\u0259kanda \u0130srailin …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-xeber"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2278","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2278"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2278\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2278"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2278"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millitv.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2278"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}